Dewi Susiloningtyas, Della A. Lestari, La Ode A. Minsaris, Muchamad Hartanto, Budiman Sakti, Taufiq E. Ahmad, Dhea R. Azhari, Amien Rais
The city of Bandar Lampung has a significant population growth, resulting in continuous expansion of built-up areas. This situation parallels the threat of mean sea level rise along the coast of Bandar Lampung. This study aims to project the development of built-up areas and the rise in sea level. The projection of built-up area growth is conducted through dynamic spatial modeling form data 2010-2020, while mean sea level rise forecasting is done using long short-term memory (LSTM) form data 2002-2022 to project the years 2024, 2029, 2035, 2041, 2048, and 2059. The research findings indicate that by the year 2059, the projected population growth is 4114190 people. Consequently, 90% (16543.44 hectares) of the total area will be converted into a built-up area. Bandar Lampung will face a mean sea level rise of 107 cm in 2059, which will have a significant impact, submerging a coastal area of 116.13 hectares out of the total area of Bandar Lampung City. © 2024, BIOFLUX SRL. All rights reserved.
Department of Geography, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Indonesia, West Java, Lingkar Street, Pondok Cina, Beji District, Depok City, 16424, Indonesia; Department of Geography, Faculty of Social Sciences, Universitas Negeri Jakarta, Special Capital Region of Jakarta, R. Mangun Muka Raya Street, No. 11, RT.11/RW.14, Indonesia; Department of Marine Information System, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, West Java, Dr. Setiabudi Street, No. 229, Isola, Sukasari District, Bandung City, Indonesia; Department of Marine Science, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Indonesia Universitas Indonesia, West Java, Bandung City, Indonesia; Department of Marine Logistic, Universitas Pendidikan Indonesia, West Java, Bandung City, Indonesia; Department of Administration Public, Universitas Prof. Dr. Hazairin, S.H, Bengkulu City, Bengkulu, Indonesia
Research at a Glance
Register to unlock
Topics & SDG Alignment
Register to unlock
Collaboration
Register to unlock
Author Profile (Selected)
Register to unlock
References Overview
Register to unlock
Journal & Source
Register to unlock
Metadata & Integrity
Register to unlock